The environmental correspondent for BBC News — a reliable source for climate alarmism — informs us that the “smart folks” on climate change have issued a “new warning” on the sea-ice melt at the North Pole. Unfortunately for the alarmists, the warning is that the sea-ice melt the “smart folks” predicted isn’t going as planned:
Scientists who predicted a few years ago that Arctic summers could be ice-free by 2013 now say summer sea ice will probably be gone in this decade.
Now they are working with a new computer model – compiled partly in response to those criticisms – that produces a “best guess” date of 2016.
Sure. Arctic sea ice will “probably be gone this decade.” Unless it isn’t. In which case, the alarmists will edit their ever-present “The End is Near!!!” placards to 2017 … then 2018, and 2019 then 2020 — at which point the “gone this decade” prediction will just move on to the next decade.
Thought experiment: Let’s say I predict that the world will end in 2012. And, if it doesn’t happen, I adjust my prediction to 2013. And if (again) it doesn’t end, adjust my prediction to 2014. Then 2015. Then 2016 … ad infinitum until the world actually ends, as it surely will some day. If I could live forever — and was determined to keep making predictions year after year — I’d eventually be right. But that wouldn’t make me a reliable seer. Or remotely sane. Or a credible scientist.
So why do climate alarmists keep getting off the hook?