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13

Environment/Energy

Climate Change and Food Production: A Misunderstood Connection

  • by Jay Lehr
  • August 7, 2011
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The world’s food producers are frequently blamed for being responsible for some part of the “greenhouse gas” emissions thought to contribute to global warming, and consequently are targeted for regulations or carbon taxes. But the connection between climate change and food production is nearly the opposite of this popular but mistaken belief.

Increasing levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere – whether from humans, or from oceans and other much larger sources – increases all vegetation growth rates, making food and animal feed more plentiful and ultimately less expensive.

The idea that man has significant impact on the earth’s temperature is both arrogant and absurd. Between 1978 and 1998 when the earth was warming (it is not warming any longer) Mars, Pluto, Jupiter and the largest moon of Neptune warmed at the same rate. Our Hubble telescope found no SUVs on any of these celestial bodies.

Carbon dioxide is not a pollutant. On the contrary it makes crops and forests grow faster. Mapping by satellite shows that the earth has become about 6 percent greener overall in the past two decades, with forests expanding into arid regions. The Amazon rain forest was the biggest gainer, with two tons of additional bio-mass per acre per year. Certainly, climate change does not help every region equally. But careful studies predict overall benefit — fewer storms, more rain, better crop yields, longer growing seasons, milder winters and decreasing heating costs in colder climates. The news is certainly not bad and on balance may be rather good.

Someday the world will wake up and laugh when the public finally understands that the entire pursuit of economic ruin in the name of saving the planet from increasing carbon dioxide is in fact a terrible joke. It is an unarguable fact that the portion of the Earth’s greenhouse-gas envelope contributed by man is barely one-tenth of one percent of the total. Do the numbers your self. CO2 is no more than 4 percent of the total (with water vapor being over 90 percent, followed by methane and sulpher and nitrous oxides). Of that 4 percent, man contributes only a little over 3 percent — the remainder coming from the oceans and decaying vegetation. Elementary school arithmetic says that 3 percent of 4 percent is 0.12 percent. And for that we are sentencing the planet to a wealth of damaging economic impacts?

With regard to raising beef cattle: Yes, methane produced by all animals is a green house gas — but that produced as part of the domesticated food chain is an insignificant part of methane’s small percent as well.

Some 900,000 years of ice-core temperature records and carbon dioxide content records show that CO2 increases follow rather than lead increases in Earth temperature — which is logical because the oceans are the primary source of CO2, and they hold more CO2 when cool than when warm, so warming causes the oceans to release more CO2. Again, the production of animal protein for human consumption has nothing to do with the earth’s temperature. Nor does any other aspect of agriculture, and it is time that those of us working diligently to provide the world with abundant healthy and inexpensive food stop pandering to green ant-agriculture environmental zealots intending to enslave the world and destroy its economy with alarmist lies.

We know that 200 million years ago, when the dinosaurs walked the Earth, average CO2 concentration in the atmosphere was 1800 ppm, five times higher than today.

Never mind that the overall polar bear population has increased from about 5,000 in the 1960s to 25,000 today, and that the only two populations in decline come from areas where it has actually been getting colder over the past 50 years. Also ignore the fact that polar bears were around 100,000 years ago, long before at least one important interglacial period when it was much warmer than the present. Clearly, they survived long periods of time when the climate of the Arctic was much warmer than today. Yet they are not expected to survive this present warming without help from government regulators and environmental groups attempting too curtail agricultural productivity?

No computer model ever used to compute climate change has been able to calculate our recent past Earth temperature, though all measured data inputs were known and available. So why do people give any credence to made up math equations said to emulate the Earth’s climate when they say the temperature is warming and animal husbandry is partially to blame?

The late, great author Michael Crichton once said the claim of consensus in science has been the first refuge of scoundrels. It has been a way to avoid debate by claiming a matter to be settled. Whenever you hear that a consensus of scientists agree on something or other, reach for your wallet because you are being scammed.

Since credible scientific evidence established that CO2 from mankind has little impact on temperature and none on public health, the net result of CO2 limitations will be a transfer of wealth and the ceding of more authority to the United Nations as a global government, and the reduction of our ability to increase the healthy animal protein intake of the developing world.

Once we accept the principle that carbon should be monitored, controlled and taxed, we open the door to the most invasive kind of bureaucratic meddling — and to all the carbon cops who want to stick their noses into every aspect of the way we live, whether it is the kind of car we drive, our holiday destination, our pleasure boat or even the food miles calculated into our evening meal. And, of course, how we raise our livestock.

There is no consensus of scientists in favor of human-caused or feedlot-caused global warming. While opinion polls do not determine truth in science, more than 31,000 American scientists signed a petition drafted by the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine which stated:

There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane or other green house gases is causing or will in the foreseeable future cause catastrophic heating of the Earth Atmosphere and disruption of the Earth’s climate.

Climate change is not a scientific problem that found political support. This is about eco-activists and politicians who found a scientific issue they feel they can leverage into power and control. The environment is a great way to advance a political agenda that favors central planning and an intrusive government. What better way to control someone’s property than to subordinate one’s private property rights to environmental concerns. Does this not sound familiar as to the threats to modern agriculture?

While the most extreme environmental zealots may be relatively few in number, they have managed to gain undue influence by exploiting the gullibility of many ordinary and scientifically illiterate people — who are only too-willing to believe that the planet needs saving from man’s excesses. Perhaps it is a psychological throwback to those earlier civilizations that offered human sacrifices to the gods to assuage their sins and spare them from punishment in the form of drought, flood, famine or disease. There are certainly many parallels between modern environmentalism and religion.

By focusing our priorities on future generations, we focus less on improving the lives of people who are alive today. These future generations bear no closer relationship to us than those now living in developing countries whose lives we deign to save. The beef cattle industry tries to feed people in the world who are hungry, while alarmists place road blocks in their way.

Global warming is a major industry today. Between 1992 and 2008, the U.S. government spent $30 billion on climate change research and now contributes $6 billion a year. This finances jobs, grants, conferences, international travel and academic journals. It not only keeps a huge army of people in comfortable employment, but also fills them with self-righteousness and moral superiority, regardless of the fact that real science did not support it. By villifying industries like agriculture (which has done an historically incompetent job of telling its positive story to the public) it diverts attention from the scam being perpetrated.

It is clear that with the deep roots of the global warming scare it is not about to go away. It has the added advantage of not being able to be proven false in our lifetime. In the meantime, the sanest course for us would be to gain what limited perspective we can (remembering the global cooling alarm of a generation ago) and proceed cautiously. The beef cattle industry and all of agriculture is going through a scare with many causes — and we need to step back from it, take a long second look at the scientific evidence, and not do anything rash.

In my opinion the beef cattle industry is making a large mistake by attempting to pacify the alarmists by promoting a smaller carbon and methane footprint. It simply convinces the public that the cattle industry shares guilt for crimes against the earth. Nothing could be farther from the truth, and it is time to stand up for sound science rather than false claims.

Tags: agriculturebeef productionclimate changedairy farmsglobal warming

— Jay Lehr

Jay Lehr, Ph.D. is senior fellow and science director of The Heartland Institute, an independent nonprofit organization based in Chicago. He is an internationally renowned speaker, scientist, and author who has testified before Congress on more than three dozen occasions on environmental issues, and consulted with nearly every agency of the federal government and with many foreign countries. Dr. Lehr is the author of more than 1,000 magazine and journal articles and 30 books. He is editor of Rational Readings on Environmental Concerns, McGraw-Hill’s Handbook on Environmental Science, Health and Technology (2000), Wiley’s Remediation Technologies Handbook (2004), Environmental Instrumentation and Analysis Handbook (2005), the six-volume Water Encyclopedia (Wiley Interscience, 2005). He recently completed for Wiley Interscience Nuclear Energy Encyclopedia: Science, Technology, and Applications (2011). Dr. Lehr has spoken before more than 1,000 audience on topics ranging from global warming and biotechnology to business management and health and physical fitness. He invariably receives the highest scores for entertaining and energizing even the largest audiences. He was featured in Parachute Magazine in March 2010 for setting a new world record for having jumped from an airplane each and every month for 32 years.

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  • Jimcarino

    This is the most biased, non-scientific, wishful thinking, politically motivated, under-the-table paid article I’ve read in a long time.

    • Mark

      What are your Credentials???

  • Jimcarino

    This is the most biased, non-scientific, wishful thinking, politically motivated, under-the-table paid article I’ve read in a long time.

  • Atrkkb

    Jimcarino………….its just the opposite …this is the BEST article ever on the subject…..your brainwashed but u dont know it….but then how could you ??   your brain is gone.

  • Coord

    I’m pretty sure this guy is joking.  It’s a pretty funny example of the muddle-headedness typical  of people born in the USA.

  • James cog

    Stupid cringe-worthy article

  • Daniela Huppe

    Well, true, rice paddies produce more methane than cow paddies, but here go my hopes for finding some useful arguments. At least we can agree on the ‘claim of consensus in science’. Mr. Science Director, how about some sources? Ie some links to those satellite maps, info on the polar bear population and the like. The very fact that there is an increase in vegetation seem to be in favour of CO2 increase. So what was your point here exactly? Never mind that humans would not be able to function at the CO2 levels that were present at the age of the dinosaur. But hey, they did so well when conditions on mother earth changed. I am sure people would enjoy a constant state of nausea and headache at those elevated CO2 levels. Bayer would most certainly cheer. They’d call it Adaptation or some other new brand. Considering the price and easy access of meat in areas of need, surely the Hungry will be the first to benefit from beef cattle production. Perhaps you should have mentioned beef and cattle a few more times… not sure people got your connection. Personally I don’t care for feedlot production meats, and I am a confirmed carnivore. Emissions are the least of the problems with feedlot, over-crowded, medicated, ill-fed, ill-treated and mass-produced meats. Especially when grass is at such an abundance, with so much space all around it. Food production does not = feedlot beef cattle. Higher methane emissions from rice paddies would have made for a far more convincing argument. Now all that is left is a bunch of cow paddies I am afraid. Try again? 

  • vulcan

    Almost every “fact” in this article is either false or used out of context. He probably gets his “science” certain talk show hosts because it sure doesn’t come from science books or journals.

  • Anonymous

    I’m not the only former believer urging prosecutors to lay
    criminal chargers to the leading scientists and news editors for knowingly
    inciting this needless panic of CO2 climate crisis. Besides condemning billions
    of children to a CO2 death the media failed in informing us of how the UN had
    allowed carbon trading markets that were run by corporations and politicians,
    to trump 3rd world fresh water relief, starvation rescue and 3rd world
    education for just over 25 years of climate CONTROL rather than the obviously
    needed POPULATION control.

    The UN and media  watched as thousands of scientists presented
    their own personal and unique papers on climate change and called it scientific
    “consensus”. Yes all 3000 scientists are wrong because they all disagree with
    each other, not agree with each other. Tell me how that is consensus when every
    single scientist on board and every science organization has a unique view of
    climate change? That was a consultant’s w & t dream. Climate change was a
    lab coat consultant’s w&t dream, and criminal exaggeration, but worst case
    scenarios have a longer life than just simple exaggeration and “lying”. Fear
    always is unsustainable. What they DID agree on however, was that there “would”
    be effects, so studying effects of something that hasn’t happened yet presumes
    climate change to be real. Did you notice after tropical fossils were found
    under the melting ice that all research suddenly went totally into effects, not
    causes? When this is all said and done with scientist and news editors convicted,
    only then will we see what climate change was; modern day omen worship.

    So until Obama decides to mention the crisis in his next
    state of the union speech like he didn’t this year, and when I see the
    thousands of climate change scientist marching in the streets and acting like
    it’s the emergency THEY said it was, I will be a former believer and a planet
    lover that is happy a crisis was averted.

  • Danae Co

    “…green ant-agriculture environmental zealots intending to enslave the world and destroy its economy with alarmist lies” …well now he’s just flailing.

  • Safsaujnce

    How on earth did ths ridiculous tripe get published on google news? Damn!

  • Stockwell98

    The environmental activist have targeted and held the timber industry hostage with much the same faulty — even fantastical — science, and the economy in timber rich areas is poverty line or below, with massive employment and underemployment.  We now see the fruit of their efforts as they take over these communities, not for the pure enjoyment of the landscape, but to grown acres and acres of marijuana.  The land they use to plant is completely deforested, with diesel generators to power water pumps, which often leak right into the watershed they are draining for their “farming” operation.  
    This attack on our culture and economy, both cattle and timber industry and all other resource-based industry, must be a combined effort.  We will never have any success against their propaganda machine if we work separately – we much join forces and speak truth.

    • Milligan

      Yes you “much join forces and speak the truth”. The truth is you’re a retard. Like the author of this ridiculous article.

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