Latest posts by James H. Rust (see all)
- A Young Person’s Guide to Energy Conservation - August 9, 2016
- Questioning “The Secret Dirty War to Stop Solar Power” - June 27, 2016
- Be Prepared For Latest UAH Satellite Global Temperature Data - April 16, 2016
On February 16, Secretary of State John Kerry gave a long speech in Jakarta, Indonesia before a group of Indonesian students, civic leaders, and government officials in a U. S. Embassy-run American Center in a shopping mall. The subject was on climate change policy and Secretary Kerry ripped into those who disagreed with his thinking. Secretary Kerry said, “We simply don’t have time to let a few loud interest groups hijack the climate conversation,” he said, referring to what he called “big companies” that “don’t want to change and spend a lot of money” to act to reduce the risks. “We should not allow a tiny minority of shoddy scientists and science and extreme ideologues to compete with scientific facts.” “Nor should we allow any room for those who think that the costs associated with doing the right thing outweigh the benefits.” “The science is unequivocal, and those who refuse to believe it are simply burying their heads in the sand,” Kerry said. “We don’t have time for a meeting anywhere of the Flat Earth Society.”
Secretary Kerry also said scientists claim climate changes are leading to drought, wildfires, rising sea levels, melting polar ice, plant and animal extinctions, and other extreme conditions. In addition, he pointed out recent weather disasters such as flooding and typhoons in Asia and their impacts on commerce, fishing, agriculture and daily living conditions for billions of people.
He added: “In a sense, climate change can now be considered the world’s largest weapon of mass destruction, perhaps even, the world’s most fearsome weapon of mass destruction.” The solution, Kerry said, is a new global energy policy that shifts reliance from fossil fuels to cleaner technologies. He noted President Barack Obama is championing such a shift and encouraged others to appeal to their leaders to join.
Tens of millions of Americans take offense to an American Secretary of State on foreign soil labeling them “a tiny minority of shoddy scientists and science and extreme ideologues to compete with scientific facts.” There is no precedent for such actions.
Secretary Kerry always used the words climate change instead of global warming as buzz words for human-caused present and future disasters. Climate change has existed since the beginning of the planet 4.5 billion years ago. Debating climate change makes as much sense as debating the sun rises in the East each morning. Secretary Kerry, as well as President Obama, is arguing the hypothesis carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels is causing global warming with catastrophic weather events. Tens of millions of thinking Americans, including tens of thousands of scientists, disagree with this hypothesis.
If Secretary Kerry and his compatriots would listen to the debate, they would learn the following answers to global warming questions: Is global warming taking place? Yes, for reasons explained later. Do human activity’s causing global warming? Yes, temperatures are increasing in large metropolitan areas where massive amounts of concrete and asphalt store the sun’s energy and increases local temperatures; particularly at night. This is called the Urban Heat Island Effect. Does carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels cause significant global warming? No, historical and scientific events show increasing carbon dioxide has an insignificant role in global warming.
Historical data covering almost one million years show no significant role of carbon dioxide changes on temperatures. Antarctic ice core data hundreds of thousands of years ago show temperature increases led carbon dioxide increases by 100 to 900 years. This indicates temperature drives carbon dioxide changes; not the other way. More recently the planet experienced periods of approximately 500-year duration in which the planet warmed and then cooled; while carbon dioxide levels remained constant. The periods have names–Roman Warming Period (100 BC-400 AD), Dark Ages (400 AD-900 AD), Medieval Warm Period (900 AD-1300 AD), Little Ice Age (1300 AD-1850 AD), and Current Warm Period (1850 AD-?). If history repeats itself the Current Warm Period will last until 2300 AD and then the planet’s climate will shift into another 500-year cold period. Temperatures during the Medieval Warm Period were warmer than today as shown by Greenland’s agricultural districts, wine produced in Scotland, sea levels being higher than today, and higher local temperature measurements at many locations.
Carbon dioxide is one of several greenhouse gases that absorbs and re-emits radiant heat emitted from the earth’s surface. This effect is thought to have warmed the earth by about 60 degrees F. above what would exist if this phenomenon did not occur.
Carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels is a small portion of the carbon dioxide emitted annually into the atmosphere. At this time, natural emissions due to out-gassing from the oceans, plant and animal decay, volcanoes, etc. are about 800 billion tons per year. Current carbon dioxide emissions are about 36 billion tons per year. Current atmospheric carbon dioxide level is 400 parts per million (ppm); increasing at a rate of 2 ppm annually. For the past ten thousand years, carbon dioxide levels are thought to be 280 ppm until the start of the Industrial Revolution in 1750. From that time, carbon dioxide levels gradually increased to 310 ppm from 1750 to 1950. Since 1950, carbon dioxide levels increased 90 ppm to the 400 ppm level of 2014. It is this 64-year period from 1950 to present that carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels is alleged to contribute to global warming.
Water vapor is also a greenhouse gas more powerful than carbon dioxide due to its more complex molecular structure. On average water vapor exists on the planet at 10,000 ppm; forty times more prevalent than carbon dioxide. Water vapor accounts for most of the earth’s 60 degree temperature increase due to the greenhouse effect.
Examining global temperatures during the Current Warming Period shows a slight decline in temperatures from 1880 until 1910, a rise in temperatures from 1910 to 1940, a slight decline in temperatures from 1940 until 1975, a rise in temperatures from 1975 until 1998, and leveling(the pause) of temperatures from 1998 to present. Those debating the role of carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels on global warming concede the influence is from 1950 to present. Prior to 1950, global warming is caused by natural events. During the 64-year period with a 90 ppm increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide, global warming occurred only 23 years. Those with good memories might recall in 1974 Newsweek and Time Magazine came out with issues of alarm about global cooling may usher in another Ice Age. The 15-year pause in global warming with the highest rate of annual carbon dioxide increases (32 ppm over 15 years) has led to consternation for many promoting catastrophic global warming. This is the reason Secretary Kerry and President Obama use the words climate change instead of global warming in their remarks slandering America’s citizens.
The scares about global warming (climate change) are due to a multitude of computer models that predict present and future global temperatures and events like sea level rise. All of these models are unable to predict the current pause and overestimate global temperatures when compared to current temperatures. Another factor frequently omitted in discussing the worth of computer models is all of them predict a “hot spot” in the upper atmosphere from latitudes 30 degrees South to 30 degrees North. The “hot spot” reaches from an altitude of 4 miles to 10 miles. Millions of radiosonde and satellite temperature measurements show no existence of the “hot spot”. The failure of computer models to predict actual events show they are not worthy of basing energy policy on their projections.
Secretary Kerry read off a list of events such as droughts, forest fires, hurricanes, tornados, sea level rise, and polar ice melting that have centuries of data showing their changes. All of these events occurred in the past when carbon dioxide levels were not increasing; surprisingly, many of these events are less frequent and powerful the last few decades. Secretary Kerry claimed a vast preponderance of scientists agree with him about the dangers of burning fossil fuels. One example of disagreement is the Oregon Petition during the late 1990s that had 31,487 scientists, including 9029 PhDs, who stated carbon dioxide increases are not worth considering for energy policy.
The preceding paragraphs cover a lot of climate science that is readily available on the Internet. They show most of Secretary Kerry’s statements involving global warming are false. I always urge individuals to be skeptical of everything and verify their beliefs. A good start is information from a group of scientists, the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), and their most recent report Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science . This report is on the Internet, over 1000 pages long, and with over 4000 references. Another excellent source of information is the Internet report by Popular Technology that lists 1350 + peer-reviewed papers challenging catastrophic global warming by categories such as Arctic, sea level rise, temperatures, etc.
Secretary Kerry’s remarks are political and attempting to convince American’s the nation should adopt policies to reduce fossil fuel use and lead the world on introducing a world-wide protocol, similar to the expired 1997 Kyoto Treaty, administered by the United Nations and consummated at the Conference of the Parties meeting in Paris November 30-December 10, 2015. In his speech, Secretary Kerry mentioned giving Indonesia $332 million from the Millennium Challenge Corporation as part of the Green Prosperity program to help insure that nation’s cooperation in getting a new Kyoto Treaty passed. Statements by some of the people Secretary Kerry consorts with may give insight on what is in store for the United States.
“They actually want to breathe air that they don’t have to look at. They’re not doing this because they want to save the planet. They’re doing it because it’s in their national interest. China is also able to implement policies because its political system avoids some of the legislative hurdles seen in countries including the U.S. Key policies, reforms and appointments are decided at plenums, or meeting of the governing Communist Party’s more than 200-strong Central Committee. The National People’s Congress, China’s unicameral legislature, largely enforces decisions made by the party and other executive organs. The political divide in the U.S. Congress has slowed efforts to pass climate legislation and is “very detrimental” to the fight against global warming, she remarked.”
Another player in the United Nations attempt at energy policy control, Ottmar Edenhofer is the co-chair of the IPCC Working Group III, gave the following interview with Neue Zurcher Zeitung November 14, 2010 : “De facto, this means an expropriation of the countries with natural resources. This leads to a very different development from that which has been triggered by development policy.”
“First of all, developed countries have basically expropriated the atmosphere of the world community. But one must say clearly that we redistribute de facto the world’s wealth by climate policy. Obviously, the owners of coal and oil will not be enthusiastic about this. One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy. This has almost nothing to do with environmental policy anymore, with problems such as deforestation or the ozone hole.”
These individuals want a new world order where the United States cedes sovereignty to the demands of the United Nations.
Secretary Kerry said, “Climate change can now be considered the world’s most fearsome weapon of mass destruction.” Can his memory be so short not to remember over ten thousand have died due to the war on terror that stretches back to at least 1983 when 241 Marines were killed in a Lebanon barracks and trillions of tax dollars spent on a war that is not finished.
Fossil fuel use is the lifeblood of developed industrial nations. It has eliminated hunger, poverty, lack of shelter, drudgery, and provided healthier, more comfortable, and longer lifespans. The United States is blessed by having over one hundred years or more supply of inexpensive or moderate cost deposits of each of the fossil fuels–coal, oil, and natural gas. Secretary Kerry, along with President Obama and his supporters, want to eliminate use of the nation’s abundant, reliable, and economical fossil fuels and replace them with renewable energy sources–wind and solar–whose present state of technology make them expensive, unreliable, and impractical to scale up to the size of present fossil fuel capabilities. These policies will substantially lower the standard of living for Americans and condemn developing nations to perpetual poverty.
Secretary Kerry’s solutions to the non-existent global warming problem can be compared to the pre-20th century medical practice of bloodletting—patients are not cured and many die.
All of Secretary Kerry’s and President Obama’s plans to relieve “Climate Change” are a total waste of money. Society has used common sense to mitigate natural climate change for many thousands of years. The first use was called clothing–it was noticed clothing made people more comfortable in cold weather. Society has progressed ever since due to human actions that did not require government persuasion. Umbrellas were invented to make traveling more comfortable during rainfall. Secretary Kerry’s plans are similar to having government tell the public to open their umbrellas during rainfall. With the U. S. government sinking in debt $2 billion per day, do we need to waste tax dollars on agencies to tell us to do what we would naturally do?
Damage to the nation’s economy by climate change and energy policies of Secretary Kerry, President Obama, and their followers demand examination of their fitness to run this country. The public needs to thoroughly study these issues and make decisive votes in the 2014 and 2016 elections.
Students of 19th century American history may recall the great Nez Perce Chief Joseph who led his tribe on an epic 1500-mile trek in the Northwest trying to lead his people to freedom in Canada and was forced to surrender. After surrender he made the memorable statement, “From where the sun now stands I will fight no more forever.” Due to sadness about perils facing our country, I make this statement, “Where the sun now stands John Kerry is my Secretary of State no more forever.”