Media reports every day express the notion that President Donald J. Trump is double digits behind former Vice President Joe Biden in the polls to depress voting among Republicans. But we all know what happened in 2016 in the Hillary/Trump race for president when the polls predicted Hillary would win by a landslide, and then she lost to outsider businessman Donald Trump.
According to the following article posted at Powerlineblog.com, Beneath the Top Line Poll Numbers, “The shift to the left by the Democrat Party of today has occurred chiefly among white Democrats. This may be the hidden weakness that delivers the election to Trump.”
As a new report from Zach Goldberg notes from survey data from the spring of 2020 about Democratic voters in Arizona, California, Colorado, and Texas, “White Democrats are the most hostile group to increased security along the U.S.-Mexico border, black Democrats favor increased security more than white Democrats by a two-to-one margin. Even Hispanic Democrats favor stronger border security than white Democrats do. No wonder polls show Trump running better than Republican nominees usually do with Hispanics.”
Another hopeful sign: David Wasserman, House editor for The Cook Political Report, wrote on Oct. 1 that voter registration patterns over a longer period in key battleground states show that “Republicans have swamped Democrats in adding new voters to the rolls, a dramatic GOP improvement over 2016.”
This New York Times article by Thomas B. Edsal, Biden Is Not Out of the Woods, should make Democrats very nervous and Republicans pleased.